Primera B badgePrimera B · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Recoleta badgeRecoletavsRangers de Talca badgeRangers de Talca

4 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model60.7%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack31
Defence48
Form24
Rangers de Talca badge

Rangers de Talca

Attack18
Defence54
Form17

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market78.1%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Recoleta (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model60.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Recoleta Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market45.5%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model20.8%
The market23.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
4.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.8%

0-0

26.1%

1-1

12.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.