Primera B badgePrimera B · 9 September 2026AI PICK

Recoleta badgeRecoletavsSan Marcos de Arica badgeSan Marcos de Arica

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
59.8%
Markets called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge -1.9%
Our model59.8%
The market61.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack42
Defence46
Form31
San Marcos de Arica badge

San Marcos de Arica

Attack30
Defence48
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +9.0%Correct
Our model77.5%
The market68.5%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.46

Draw No Bet

Recoleta (DNB)

Edge +19.4%Correct
Our model65.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
2.15

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model59.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model54.7%
The market54.3%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Recoleta Win

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model43.6%
The market36.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.73

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.6%

0-0

15.2%

1-1

14.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.