Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Recreativo Huelva badgeRecreativo HuelvavsXerez Deportivo badgeXerez Deportivo

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
85.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+33.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +33.1%
Our model85.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 33.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Recreativo Huelva badge

Recreativo Huelva

Attack32
Defence57
Form42
Xerez Deportivo badge

Xerez Deportivo

Attack23
Defence45
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +33.1%Miss
Our model85.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+33.1
Odds
1.90

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +14.6%Miss
Our model68.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Recreativo Huelva Win

Edge +11.8%Correct
Our model61.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Recreativo Huelva (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.