Serie D - Girone I badgeSerie D - Girone I · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Reggina badgeRegginavsAC Palermo badgeAC Palermo

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.3%
Our model62.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Reggina badge

Reggina

Attack62
Defence98
Form73
AC Palermo badge

AC Palermo

Attack65
Defence40
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.3%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Reggina Win

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model52.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Reggina (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.2%

1-0

8.8% · actual

2-1

8.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.