Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Resistencia badgeResistenciavsFernando De La Mora badgeFernando De La Mora

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.2%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +8.6%
Our model69.2%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Resistencia badge

Resistencia

Attack44
Defence52
Form41
Fernando De La Mora badge

Fernando De La Mora

Attack29
Defence52
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Miss
Our model69.2%
The market60.6%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Resistencia (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Resistencia Win

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model42.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.9
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.1%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.72

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.1%

0-0

14.6%

0-1

13.5%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.