Resistenciavs
General Caballero
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.6%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +17.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 17.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Resistencia
General Caballero
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.0
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
General Caballero (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
General Caballero Win
- Edge
- -8.5
- Odds
- 2.35
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
10.4%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.4%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.