USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Rhode Island badgeRhode IslandvsLouisville City badgeLouisville City

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +8.3%
Our model61.2%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack56
Defence72
Form52
Louisville City badge

Louisville City

Attack66
Defence46
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model77.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.26

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Close
Our model61.2%
The market52.9%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.84

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market58.2%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Void
Our model52.2%
The market54.3%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Miss
Our model40.2%
The market42.7%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
2.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.