USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Rhode Island badgeRhode IslandvsMonterey Bay badgeMonterey Bay

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
58.4%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model59.4%
The market58.4%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack53
Defence63
Form48
Monterey Bay badge

Monterey Bay

Attack58
Defence36
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model76.2%
The market90.1%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market58.4%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.5%
The market84.0%
Edge
-28.5
Odds
1.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market53.9%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
-27.1
Odds
1.44

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

8.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.