USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Rhode Island badgeRhode IslandvsOrange County SC badgeOrange County SC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.8%
Market said
53.3%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model63.8%
The market53.3%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack71
Defence57
Form51
Orange County SC badge

Orange County SC

Attack56
Defence52
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.6%
The market92.6%
Edge
-21.0
Odds
1.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model63.8%
The market53.3%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Void
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Close
Our model58.2%
The market54.4%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Miss
Our model36.4%
The market67.1%
Edge
-30.7
Odds
1.49

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.7%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.95

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

9.0% · actual

2-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.