USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Rhode Island badgeRhode IslandvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+22.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

High confidenceEdge +22.5%
Our model73.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 22.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rhode Island badge

Rhode Island

Attack67
Defence63
Form57
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack56
Defence100
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.5%Close
Our model73.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+22.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model68.2%
The market57.8%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Rhode Island (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rhode Island Win

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.4% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.