Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Ried badgeRiedvsGrazer AK badgeGrazer AK

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
49.9%
Edge
+8.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.5%
Our model58.4%
The market49.9%

The market underrated this by 8.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ried badge

Ried

Attack69
Defence36
Form43
Grazer AK badge

Grazer AK

Attack57
Defence35
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.2%
The market80.0%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Ried (DNB)

Correct
Our model64.0%
The market65.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.52

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market49.9%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Ried Win

Edge +7.7%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market41.7%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.