UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 14 July 2026AI PICK

Riga badgeRigavsArarat-Armenia badgeArarat-Armenia

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.9%
Our model62.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Riga badge

Riga

Attack80
Defence100
Form84
Ararat-Armenia badge

Ararat-Armenia

Attack53
Defence83
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Riga (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market85.5%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model58.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Riga Win

Correct
Our model41.6%
The market57.8%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.3%

1-1

7.2%

3-1

7.2%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.