UEFA Europa Conference League · 28 July 2026AI PICK
Rigavs
Vardar Skopje
5 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +6.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Riga
Vardar Skopje
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -19.0
- Odds
- 1.06
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Riga (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Riga Win
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.39
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.62
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.0%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.6%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.