Second League badgeSecond League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Rilski Sportist badgeRilski SportistvsSpartak Pleven badgeSpartak Pleven

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
58.4%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model60.7%
The market58.4%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rilski Sportist badge

Rilski Sportist

Attack6
Defence52
Form17
Spartak Pleven badge

Spartak Pleven

Attack36
Defence41
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +31.9%Correct
Our model87.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+31.9
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Spartak Pleven (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Void
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model60.7%
The market58.4%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market53.7%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Spartak Pleven Win

Edge +23.1%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market28.6%
Edge
+23.1
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model29.3%
The market33.8%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
2.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

29.3%

0-0

30.9%

0-2

15.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.