Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 4 April 2026AI PICK

Rio Ave badgeRio AvevsAlverca badgeAlverca

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 7 right, 2 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Rio Ave Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model56.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Double chance : Rio Ave or draw

How the two sides compared

Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack42
Defence75
Form67
Alverca badge

Alverca

Attack42
Defence33
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 7 right, 2 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +18.6%Miss
Our model90.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Rio Ave Win

Edge +6.1%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 3.5 Goals

Close
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Goals Over/Under

Under 3.5 Goals

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Rio Ave (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 7 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.