Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Rio Ave badgeRio AvevsAVS badgeAVS

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+24.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

High confidenceEdge +24.2%
Our model78.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 24.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack34
Defence39
Form38
AVS badge

AVS

Attack21
Defence42
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.2%Miss
Our model78.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Rio Ave (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Void
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rio Ave Win

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model54.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model39.4%
The market52.4%
Edge
-13.0
Odds
1.91

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.