Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 11 May 2026AI PICK

Rio Ave badgeRio AvevsSporting CP badgeSporting CP

1 - 4

Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
74.9%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+24.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Sporting CP Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +24.9%
Our model74.9%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 24.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack27
Defence44
Form33
Sporting CP badge

Sporting CP

Attack63
Defence63
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 1 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Match Winner

Sporting CP Win

Edge +24.9%
Our model74.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+24.9
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model48.5%
The market51.3%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Sporting CP (DNB)

Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.6%
The market13.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.36

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.6%

0-2

11.9%

1-1

9.5%

We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.