Rio Avevs
Sporting CP
1 - 4Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 74.9%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +24.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
Sporting CP Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 24.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 1 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.12
Match Winner
Sporting CP Win
- Edge
- +24.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Sporting CP (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 7.36
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.6%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
9.5%
We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.