Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Rio Ave badgeRio AvevsSporting CP badgeSporting CP

0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.9%
Market said
64.6%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +9.3%
Our model73.9%
The market64.6%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Rio Ave badge

Rio Ave

Attack61
Defence70
Form62
Sporting CP badge

Sporting CP

Attack100
Defence70
Form91

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model79.1%
The market87.0%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.15

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model73.9%
The market64.6%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

Sporting CP (DNB)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.6
Odds
1.14

Match Winner

Sporting CP Win

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
-19.3
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.8%
The market53.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.79

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.