Serie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK
Rio Branco ESvs
Porto BA
4 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.4%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +13.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 13.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -4.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Rio Branco ES (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Rio Branco ES Win
- Edge
- -21.7
- Odds
- 1.55
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.77
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
17.0%
0-1
15.5%
0-0
12.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.