Serie D badgeSerie D · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Rio Branco ES badgeRio Branco ESvsReal Noroeste badgeReal Noroeste

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rio Branco ES badge

Rio Branco ES

Attack48
Defence55
Form43
Real Noroeste badge

Real Noroeste

Attack36
Defence43
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market60.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

Rio Branco ES (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rio Branco ES Win

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model56.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model47.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.