Serie D badgeSerie D · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Rio Branco ES badgeRio Branco ESvsVitória ES badgeVitória ES

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.5%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+23.5 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +23.5%
Our model65.5%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 23.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rio Branco ES badge

Rio Branco ES

Attack56
Defence53
Form49
Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack89
Defence57
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.5%Close
Our model65.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+23.5
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.5%Miss
Our model64.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Rio Branco ES Win

Miss
Our model44.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Rio Branco ES (DNB)

Miss
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.3%

0-1

8.1%

1-1

7.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.