Liga Profesional Argentina badgeLiga Profesional Argentina · 14 May 2026AI PICK

River Plate badgeRiver PlatevsGimnasia L.P. badgeGimnasia L.P.

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.9%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+18.4 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +18.4%
Our model63.9%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 18.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

River Plate badge

River Plate

Attack100
Defence25
Form76
Gimnasia L.P. badge

Gimnasia L.P.

Attack100
Defence16
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +18.4%Miss
Our model63.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+18.4
Odds
2.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.2%Close
Our model63.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+17.2
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

River Plate (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

River Plate Win

Correct
Our model44.3%
The market65.4%
Edge
-21.1
Odds
1.53

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.0%
The market7.8%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.5%

1-0

8.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.