League Two badgeLeague Two · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Rochdale badgeRochdalevsCrawley Town badgeCrawley Town

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
50.3%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model59.4%
The market50.3%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rochdale badge

Rochdale

Attack48
Defence24
Form11
Crawley Town badge

Crawley Town

Attack28
Defence61
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model79.2%
The market80.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Rochdale (DNB)

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model67.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.53

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model59.4%
The market50.3%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market46.8%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Rochdale Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market52.6%
Edge
-10.3
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.0%
The market18.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.0%

0-0

15.1%

1-1

13.9%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.