League Two badgeLeague Two · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Rochdale badgeRochdalevsShrewsbury badgeShrewsbury

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.02

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rochdale badge

Rochdale

Attack47
Defence25
Form10
Shrewsbury badge

Shrewsbury

Attack41
Defence35
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Rochdale (DNB)

Edge +3.5%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market58.5%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model54.0%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.02

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Close
Our model53.8%
The market53.5%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Rochdale Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.