Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Roda badgeRodavsHelmond Sport badgeHelmond Sport

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+14.0 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Roda Win

Match Winner · best price 1.76

High confidenceEdge +14.0%
Our model70.8%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Roda badge

Roda

Attack89
Defence34
Form33
Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack20
Defence42
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market84.0%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.19

Match Winner

Roda Win

Edge +14.0%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market56.8%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
1.76

Draw No Bet

Roda (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market56.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.69

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market45.6%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.13

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model13.4%
The market15.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

13.4%

3-0

12.5%

1-0

8.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.