Premier League badgePremier League · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Rodina Moskva badgeRodina MoskvavsAkron badgeAkron

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.3%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
2.16

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.16

LowEdge +8.4%
Our model53.7%
The market45.3%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rodina Moskva badge

Rodina Moskva

Attack42
Defence36
Form29
Akron badge

Akron

Attack47
Defence48
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.2%
Our model63.1%
The market62.9%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.59

Draw No Bet

Akron (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market45.3%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.16

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market60.5%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.59

Match Winner

Akron Win

Miss
Our model31.6%
The market35.6%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.81

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

14.2%

0-0

9.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.