Premier League badgePremier League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Rodina Moskva badgeRodina MoskvavsBaltika badgeBaltika

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
48.5%
Edge
+12.8 pts
Best odds
2.03

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.03

MediumEdge +12.8%
Our model61.3%
The market48.5%

The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rodina Moskva badge

Rodina Moskva

Attack49
Defence31
Form24
Baltika badge

Baltika

Attack73
Defence87
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market48.5%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
2.03

Draw No Bet

Baltika (DNB)

Correct
Our model58.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market54.0%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Baltika Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market49.5%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
2.02

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.