Premier League badgePremier League · 31 July 2026AI PICK

Rodina Moskva badgeRodina MoskvavsFC Rostov badgeFC Rostov

2 - 4
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

LowEdge +0.4%
Our model53.8%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rodina Moskva badge

Rodina Moskva

Attack22
Defence41
Form19
FC Rostov badge

FC Rostov

Attack53
Defence48
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.9%Correct
Our model80.8%
The market69.9%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
1.43

Draw No Bet

FC Rostov (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market53.4%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model53.1%
The market49.8%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

FC Rostov Win

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market40.3%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.48

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model14.6%
The market16.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

0-2

12.9%

1-1

12.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.