Cup badgeCup · 4 August 2026AI PICK

Rodina Moskva badgeRodina MoskvavsRubin badgeRubin

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
2.02

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.02

LowEdge +6.2%
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rodina Moskva badge

Rodina Moskva

Attack26
Defence38
Form18
Rubin badge

Rubin

Attack53
Defence100
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model74.8%
The market76.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Rubin (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Rubin Win

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market50.3%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.99

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market15.0%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.68

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

13.1%

0-2

11.6%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.