Roskildevs
HIK
3 - 2Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.0%
- Market said
- 44.8%
- Edge
- +20.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.23
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.23
The market underrated this by 20.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Roskilde
HIK
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 1.19
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +20.2
- Odds
- 2.23
Match Winner
Roskilde Win
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Roskilde (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 2.09
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.7%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.