2. Bundesliga badge2. Bundesliga · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Rot-Weiß Essen badgeRot-Weiß EssenvsSpVgg Greuther Fürth badgeSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.4%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

High confidenceEdge +6.7%
Our model73.4%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rot-Weiß Essen badge

Rot-Weiß Essen

Attack75
Defence37
Form67
SpVgg Greuther Fürth badge

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Attack52
Defence50
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model73.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model67.0%
The market69.9%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.43

Match Winner

Rot-Weiß Essen Win

Edge +25.5%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market35.5%
Edge
+25.5
Odds
2.82

Draw No Bet

Rot-Weiß Essen (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

3-1

7.0%

2-2

6.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.