First League badgeFirst League · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Rotor Volgograd badgeRotor VolgogradvsUral badgeUral

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
39.0%
Edge
+18.8 pts
Best odds
2.49

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.49

MediumEdge +18.8%
Our model57.8%
The market39.0%

The market underrated this by 18.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rotor Volgograd badge

Rotor Volgograd

Attack64
Defence52
Form50
Ural badge

Ural

Attack62
Defence99
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +7.6%
Our model72.1%
The market64.5%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.55

Draw No Bet

Rotor Volgograd (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.8%Close
Our model57.8%
The market39.0%
Edge
+18.8
Odds
2.49

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market47.8%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.01

Match Winner

Rotor Volgograd Win

Edge +19.5%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market30.5%
Edge
+19.5
Odds
3.28

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.0% · actual

1-2

7.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.