Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Rouen badgeRouenvsQuevilly badgeQuevilly

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rouen badge

Rouen

Attack42
Defence99
Form67
Quevilly badge

Quevilly

Attack36
Defence38
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.5%
The market87.7%
Edge
-13.2
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Rouen (DNB)

Correct
Our model62.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Close
Our model59.4%
The market58.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market55.5%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Rouen Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market56.8%
Edge
-14.5
Odds
1.76

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.1%
The market15.1%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.1%

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.