Ligue 3 badgeLigue 3 · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Rouen badgeRouenvsValenciennes badgeValenciennes

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model61.2%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rouen badge

Rouen

Attack64
Defence100
Form76
Valenciennes badge

Valenciennes

Attack72
Defence51
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model79.5%
The market80.6%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Rouen (DNB)

Void
Our model62.3%
The market68.5%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.46

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model61.2%
The market52.1%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

Rouen Win

Miss
Our model49.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.82

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

11.8% · actual

2-1

8.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.