Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 6 September 2026AI PICK
RSD Alcalávs
CF Talavera
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 45.7%
- Edge
- +8.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.19
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.19
The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
RSD Alcalá
CF Talavera
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 1.31
Draw No Bet
RSD Alcalá (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 1.78
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 2.19
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
RSD Alcalá Win
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 2.32
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.