Premier League badgePremier League · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Rubin badgeRubinvsFC Orenburg badgeFC Orenburg

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.6%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.94

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model54.6%
The market49.6%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rubin badge

Rubin

Attack43
Defence74
Form59
FC Orenburg badge

FC Orenburg

Attack45
Defence60
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Rubin (DNB)

Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market49.6%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.94

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Close
Our model54.5%
The market43.6%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.26

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model53.6%
The market79.4%
Edge
-25.8
Odds
1.26

Match Winner

Rubin Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market50.3%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.99

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

13.1% · actual

1-2

8.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.