Premier League badgePremier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Rubin badgeRubinvsNizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny Novgorod

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model67.3%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rubin badge

Rubin

Attack34
Defence99
Form52
Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack39
Defence42
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.8%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Miss
Our model67.3%
The market54.9%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market53.2%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.88

Match Winner

Rubin Win

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model55.6%
The market47.2%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.12

Draw No Bet

Rubin (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model17.0%
The market14.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

17.0%

1-0

15.5%

0-0

12.9%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.