Cup badgeCup · 19 August 2026AI PICK

Rubin badgeRubinvsSpartak Moscow badgeSpartak Moscow

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
50.9%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model57.8%
The market50.9%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Rubin badge

Rubin

Attack43
Defence66
Form52
Spartak Moscow badge

Spartak Moscow

Attack67
Defence82
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model72.9%
The market79.4%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Spartak Moscow (DNB)

Void
Our model59.7%
The market72.5%
Edge
-12.8
Odds
1.38

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.9%Close
Our model57.8%
The market50.9%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.89

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market56.6%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Spartak Moscow Win

Miss
Our model43.5%
The market47.6%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

10.6% · actual

0-2

6.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.