Rubinvs
Spartak Moscow
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 50.9%
- Edge
- +6.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.89
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89
The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 1.26
Draw No Bet
Spartak Moscow (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.8
- Odds
- 1.38
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.89
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Spartak Moscow Win
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.26
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
10.6% · actual
0-2
6.7%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.