Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Rubio NU badgeRubio NUvsNacional Asuncion badgeNacional Asuncion

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.5%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model68.5%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Rubio NU badge

Rubio NU

Attack30
Defence62
Form42
Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack46
Defence58
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model68.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Rubio NU (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Rubio NU Win

Edge +7.8%
Our model34.8%
The market27.0%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
3.70

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.4%

1-0

13.9%

0-0

13.0%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.