Cup badgeCup · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Ryazan badgeRyazanvsSpartak Kostroma badgeSpartak Kostroma

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
56.5%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model61.2%
The market56.5%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Ryazan badge

Ryazan

Attack51
Defence100
Form62
Spartak Kostroma badge

Spartak Kostroma

Attack50
Defence81
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model83.8%
The market79.4%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Spartak Kostroma (DNB)

Correct
Our model69.3%
The market76.3%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Close
Our model61.2%
The market56.5%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.77

Match Winner

Spartak Kostroma Win

Correct
Our model58.1%
The market60.6%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.2%
The market59.9%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

1-2

7.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.