Sabadellvs
Almeria
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 51.1%
- Edge
- +2.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sabadell
Almeria
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +4.1
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
Almeria (DNB)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.97
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.83
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.71
Match Winner
Almeria Win
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 2.69
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.82
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.9%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.