Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Sabadell badgeSabadellvsAlmeria badgeAlmeria

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
51.1%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

LowEdge +2.9%
Our model54.0%
The market51.1%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sabadell badge

Sabadell

Attack44
Defence76
Form46
Almeria badge

Almeria

Attack63
Defence100
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model72.6%
The market68.5%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.46

Draw No Bet

Almeria (DNB)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model60.6%
The market50.8%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.97

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market51.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market59.2%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.71

Match Winner

Almeria Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model42.1%
The market37.2%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.69

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.82

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.9%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.