UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Sabah FA badgeSabah FAvsAarhus badgeAarhus

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model55.7%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sabah FA badge

Sabah FA

Attack46
Defence66
Form58
Aarhus badge

Aarhus

Attack75
Defence56
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market53.2%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Aarhus (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.67

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model53.6%
The market65.4%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Aarhus Win

Edge +23.8%Miss
Our model50.1%
The market26.3%
Edge
+23.8
Odds
3.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

8.8%

1-3

6.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.