Sacramento Republicvs
Rhode Island
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.5%
- Market said
- 50.9%
- Edge
- +7.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sacramento Republic
Rhode Island
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Rhode Island (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.88
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.19
Match Winner
Rhode Island Win
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
7.5% · actual
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.