USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Sacramento Republic badgeSacramento RepublicvsSporting JAX badgeSporting JAX

5 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.2%
Market said
53.1%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model57.2%
The market53.1%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sacramento Republic badge

Sacramento Republic

Attack50
Defence63
Form54
Sporting JAX badge

Sporting JAX

Attack52
Defence25
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model57.2%
The market53.1%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.82

Draw No Bet

Sacramento Republic (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market63.6%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.50

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market98.0%
Edge
-46.3
Odds
1.02

Match Winner

Sacramento Republic Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market77.5%
Edge
-33.9
Odds
1.29

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

13.1%

1-2

8.1%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.