J2/J3 League badgeJ2/J3 League · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Sagan Tosu badgeSagan TosuvsRenofa Yamaguchi badgeRenofa Yamaguchi

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.4%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model61.4%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sagan Tosu badge

Sagan Tosu

Attack52
Defence100
Form67
Renofa Yamaguchi badge

Renofa Yamaguchi

Attack59
Defence51
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model61.4%
The market52.1%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model59.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Sagan Tosu Win

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model57.6%
The market52.1%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.92

Draw No Bet

Sagan Tosu (DNB)

Void
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model9.5%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.5% · actual

0-1

9.1%

1-0

9.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.