Saint Etiennevs
Amiens
5 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 75.6%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +25.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectSaint Etienne Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 25.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Saint Etienne
Amiens
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.12
Match Winner
Saint Etienne Win
- Edge
- +25.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Saint Etienne (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.7
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 7.87
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
14.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.