League Two badgeLeague Two · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Salford City badgeSalford CityvsChesterfield badgeChesterfield

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model59.4%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Salford City badge

Salford City

Attack99
Defence38
Form67
Chesterfield badge

Chesterfield

Attack25
Defence50
Form13

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +10.3%Miss
Our model89.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.27

Draw No Bet

Salford City (DNB)

Edge +20.7%Miss
Our model83.6%
The market62.9%
Edge
+20.7
Odds
1.59

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Salford City Win

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model56.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market52.0%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model14.0%
The market16.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

14.0%

3-0

12.1%

1-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.