Salford Cityvs
Shrewsbury
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.7%
- Market said
- 53.0%
- Edge
- +7.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Salford City
Shrewsbury
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -15.8
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
Salford City (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Salford City Win
- Edge
- -10.2
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.4
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.0%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.0% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.