Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Salgueiros badgeSalgueirosvsMachico badgeMachico

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.01

LowEdge +4.8%
Our model54.6%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Salgueiros badge

Salgueiros

Attack82
Defence41
Form56
Machico badge

Machico

Attack62
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Salgueiros (DNB)

Edge +3.7%Void
Our model63.2%
The market59.5%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market49.8%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
2.01

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market65.4%
Edge
-10.8
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

Salgueiros Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market44.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
2.24

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9% · actual

0-0

9.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.