Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Sámano badgeSámanovsNumancia badgeNumancia

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Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.7%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+28.1 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

High confidenceEdge +28.1%
Our model75.7%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 28.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sámano badge

Sámano

Attack27
Defence22
Form11
Numancia badge

Numancia

Attack40
Defence67
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market90.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +28.1%Close
Our model75.7%
The market47.6%
Edge
+28.1
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Sámano (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sámano Win

Our model37.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.